Oscar Contest 2018

Updates, Announcements and Your Feedback
Animated Views Admin
Animated Views Admin
Posts: 6416
Joined: October 16th, 2004, 7:51 pm
Contact:

Oscar Contest 2018

Postby James » February 12th, 2018, 12:10 am

Animated Views is giving away $50 worth of movies — your choice of either an Amazon gift card or a Fandango gift card — during our 14th Annual Oscar Event! All you have to do is predict who is going to win at the 90th Annual Academy Awards (to be held on Sunday, March 4th, and televised on ABC). The person with the most correct picks will win!

Make your prediction in each category using this form. Don't forget to fill in your Animated Views forum username and password (check your profile if you have forgotten and to confirm that your email address is still correct). Not a forum member? Registration is free and easy so why not sign-up now!

The reason we require forum registration is because it's an easy way for us to confirm your email address and to weed out spambots — you never have to actually use the forum if you don't want to and, other than a message to confirm your address (and another if you win!), we do not send forum members emails.

All entries must be received by Friday, March 2nd, at 11:59pm ET. One entry per person please. If you send more than one entry, only the first one received will be counted.

And our Oscar Event will continue with live chat during the telecast! We'll talk about the people, the fashions, the story-lines, and the awards. We'll also be keeping track who is winning our contest in real time! Results will also be posted online as the awards are announced.

Animated Views Admin
Animated Views Admin
Posts: 6416
Joined: October 16th, 2004, 7:51 pm
Contact:

Re: Oscar Contest 2018

Postby James » February 12th, 2018, 12:12 am

Here are a few links that might be useful.

- This is the contest page with the ballot and rules: http://animatedviews.com/contest/oscar2018

- This is a list of all the people who have entered. On Oscar night this link will keep a live running score of who is winning the contest: http://animatedviews.com/contest/oscar2018/results.php

- This link will allow you to review what you picked and give you the option to download/print a PDF file of all the nominees with your picks highlighted: http://animatedviews.com/contest/oscar2018/review.html

Animated Views Admin
Animated Views Admin
Posts: 6416
Joined: October 16th, 2004, 7:51 pm
Contact:

Re: Oscar Contest 2018

Postby James » February 12th, 2018, 12:14 am

PREVIOUS WINNERS
(and the number they predicted right out of the 22 categories we count)

2005 - DarrenBest (18)
2006 - dgaspar (18), Mercury52 (18)
2007 - Jim Figley (14)
2008 - MrDy83 (16)
2009 - MileHighCinephile (20), Bobbleheadbuddha (20)
2010 - Jafar (19), reeg2223 (18)
2011 - rmh (20)
2012 - Bobbleheadbuddha (18), Soraly (18)
2013 - leonorab (20)
2014 - rgross3, brobr6, djp2000, GeorgeMonkey, instlouis, Jafar, leonorab, ripkenkid843, WalkingDisaster, Joe Kenobi (21)
2015 - dgaspar, Unbreakable Samurai (19)
2016 - Msonsky (18)
2017 - dmccd777 (17)

RECORDS

- Most wins: 2
Bobbleheadbuddha (2009, 2012)
Jafar (2010, 2014)
leonorab (2013, 2014)
dagspar (2006, 2015)

- Most consecutive wins: 2
leonorab (2013, 2014)

- Most correct picks (out of the 22 categories we count): 21
tie between ten people (2014)

- Easiest year to predict: 2014
ten winners correctly predicted 21 of 22 categories

- Toughest year to predict: 2007
one winner correctly predicted 14 of 22 categories

Animated Views Admin
Animated Views Admin
Posts: 6416
Joined: October 16th, 2004, 7:51 pm
Contact:

Re: Oscar Contest 2018

Postby James » February 21st, 2018, 1:27 am

Just a reminder that there are only nine days left to enter!

Animated Views Admin
Animated Views Admin
Posts: 6416
Joined: October 16th, 2004, 7:51 pm
Contact:

Re: Oscar Contest 2018 - ENTRIES DUE THIS FRIDAY!

Postby James » February 28th, 2018, 9:26 am

As I seem to say every year, entires are way down. Also like every year, I'm assuming most people are waiting until the last minute to enter hoping for an advantage. If so, now's the time!

Don't be like this guy! ENTER TODAY!

LOL. Brilliant marketing guys. Go to the trouble to have an Oscars contest but end it two days before the Oscars even take place.
Who is even looking for an Oscars contest two days before the event? That would be like ending Super Bowl betting two days before the game.


ONLY TWO DAYS LEFT TO PLAY!

AV Forum Member
AV Forum Member
Posts: 662
Joined: July 9th, 2008, 3:53 am
Location: Australia

Re: Oscar Contest 2018 - ENTRIES DUE THIS FRIDAY!

Postby Bill1978 » February 28th, 2018, 3:08 pm

Thanks for the reminder, it had totally slipped my mind. Hopefully can make time to cast votes and lose again.

Animated Views Admin
Animated Views Admin
Posts: 6416
Joined: October 16th, 2004, 7:51 pm
Contact:

Re: Oscar Contest 2018 - ENTRIES DUE THIS FRIDAY!

Postby James » March 2nd, 2018, 8:45 am

Today is your last day to enter!

We're running at about 2/3s of last year's entries, though based on past experience I expect a rush of ballots turned in today.

I'm probably going to extend the deadline by three hours so it ends at midnight west coast time, rather east coast.

AV Forum Member
AV Forum Member
Posts: 4
Joined: February 19th, 2009, 6:40 pm

Re: Oscar Contest 2018 - ENTRIES DUE THIS FRIDAY!

Postby jwvaughn007 » March 2nd, 2018, 6:57 pm

Bill1978 wrote:Thanks for the reminder, it had totally slipped my mind. Hopefully can make time to cast votes and lose again.
Hey! I thought that was MY thing. I even lose THAT now... sigh.

Animated Views Admin
Animated Views Admin
Posts: 6416
Joined: October 16th, 2004, 7:51 pm
Contact:

Re: Oscar Contest 2018

Postby James » March 3rd, 2018, 11:11 am

The ballot has now been closed! Thanks to all who entered! A little down from previous years, with almost 70 entries.

Just for fun I added a new feature this year. I looked at who was predicted the most in each category by you guys and then compared that to every ballot. The last column on the score page shows how many of your picks matched the consensus picks. The consensus isn't always right of course (last year the AV consensus only got 15 out of 22 right!), but it's still a fun stat to talk about until the show starts!

The number looks something like this: "12 / 1". The first number is how many of your picks matched the consensus in the 22 categories we score. The second number is how many matched the 2 categories we use as the second tie-breaker.

Animated Views Admin
Animated Views Admin
Posts: 4933
Joined: October 22nd, 2004, 11:21 pm
Location: SaskaTOON, Canada

Re: Oscar Contest 2018

Postby Randall » March 3rd, 2018, 12:44 pm

I see that Tami and I had among the lowest number of consensus picks. Apparently, we are out of the loop again.

Animated Views Admin
Animated Views Admin
Posts: 6416
Joined: October 16th, 2004, 7:51 pm
Contact:

Re: Oscar Contest 2018

Postby James » March 4th, 2018, 12:30 am

The votes in each category have been posted for those interested in seeing what everyone voted for. Some interesting notes on the nominees and the contest ballots:

-- Lots of agreement in lots of categories. 13 categories had at least 80% agreement from voters. 17 categories had at least 70% agreement!

-- Best Picture is a tight race. 41% say Three Billboards is going to win, while 38% picked The Shape of Water. Going into the final day of balloting, those numbers were reversed! Last minute voters flipped that category!

-- Coco was almost a unanimous pick for Best Animated Feature. One brave soul chose The Boss Baby! (If there is a spoiler for Pixar my money is on The Breadwinner.)

-- Lots of love for Roger Deakins for Best Cinematography. He's been nominated 14 times in the category but has yet to win. Be nice if he wins, but not sure Blade Runner 2049 is the movie I'd choose for him to break through! (Deakins also consulted on Wall-e, How to Train Your Dragon, and Rango.)

-- Speaking of cinematography, 4 of the 5 nominated films had readers vote for them. The odd man out is actually a woman: Mudbound's Rachel Morrison, the first woman ever nominated for Best Cinematography (the last category that had never had a female nominee.)

-- Four of the Best Visual Effects nominees are sequels and the last is a reboot! All featured "animated" characters. No Star Wars film since the original series has won an Oscar. No Marvel movie has ever won. None of the previous Planet of the Apes movies has won. The original Blade Runner movie didn't win. Kong has won one competitive Oscar, one special achievement Oscar, and the producers lobbied the Academy to create an award for the 1933 version!

-- Basketball star Kobe Bryant and animation legend Glen Keane are the contest favorites to win the Best Animated Short Oscar for Dear Basketball. You can watch the short here: https://www.go90.com/videos/261MflWkD3N

-- Beauty and the Beast is up for two awards, Production Design and Costume Design. Disney has won several Oscars with its live action reimaginings of animated classics, including Best Art Direction (now Production Design) and Costume Design for Alice in Wonderland, and Best Visual Effects for The Jungle Book. (Personally, I'm hoping it doesn't win any. I want the original to be Disney's only Oscar-winning Beauty and the Beast!)

-- The only other category with an animated film nominee is Best Original Song. AV readers overwhelming predict Remember Me from Coco will win. The Best Song award has been around since 1934. In the first 55 years, only one song from an animated film won: When You Wish Upon a Star from Pinocchio. Since 1989, 10 songs from an animated film have won. (Song of the South and Mary Poppins won, but weren't really "animated films". The Muppets have also taken home an award!) Only one non Disney or Pixar song has ever won: When You Believe from The Prince of Egypt.

AV Forum Member
AV Forum Member
Posts: 450
Joined: October 18th, 2007, 2:40 pm

Re: Oscar Contest 2018

Postby gaastra » March 4th, 2018, 8:19 am

I am so bad at this contest. I end up at the bottom every year. This year was extra hard. So many big movies in best picture. Oh well it's the fun of guessing that counts.

AV Forum Member
AV Forum Member
Posts: 2899
Joined: September 27th, 2007, 2:06 pm

Re: Oscar Contest 2018

Postby EricJ » March 4th, 2018, 6:34 pm

I'd read an anonymous-insider article that some of the new voters were distinctly divided on Darkest Hour, but were still gushing over Three Billboards.
Man, that just took the fun out of it right away. :( Looks like "Better luck next year" for actual mainstream commercial movies getting Best Picture, and they've still forgotten why they wanted to retire the 8-10 nominations two years ago.

As for Documentary Feature, on my various movie Twitter accounts, I've been seeing eight to twelve photos a day of critics and directors at festivals/awards posing with Edna Mode...er, Agnes Varda, so Documentary continues to be the second least-suspenseful category this year.

James wrote:-- The only other category with an animated film nominee is Best Original Song. AV readers overwhelming predict Remember Me from Coco will win. The Best Song award has been around since 1934. In the first 55 years, only one song from an animated film won: When You Wish Upon a Star from Pinocchio. Since 1989, 10 songs from an animated film have won. (Song of the South and Mary Poppins won, but weren't really "animated films". The Muppets have also taken home an award!) Only one non Disney or Pixar song has ever won: When You Believe from The Prince of Egypt.


I've already padded sections of my wall to beat my head against if Remember Me wins Best Song for "Coco"--Biggest put-up rig since the Muppets song.
Yes, it was thrown in our face for most of the movie, to the point that Disney/Pixar was dangling a watch in front of our eyes and saying "You WILL nominate it for representative Best Song...."
But it's just....y'know....not an actual Best Song--In fact, it sticks out from the rest of the movie for not even remotely sounding anything like the rest of the finely crafted Mexico/mariachi atmosphere. As I joked at the time, "Why are they suddenly singing Frozen songs in Mexico?"

"But it's so important to the PLOT, when he sings it to her at the end!"--That's no excuse.
That's like saying Rapunzel's flower-incantation song from Tangled should have been nominated: Yes, it's important to the running third-act plot device, but when you have a singer up on the Oscar stage performing it for the excerpt, you start noticing it's a bit thin musically.

User avatar
Animated Views Admin
Animated Views Admin
Posts: 17960
Joined: October 22nd, 2004, 1:27 pm
Location: London, UK

Re: Oscar Contest 2018

Postby Ben » March 4th, 2018, 7:23 pm

Well, if Shape takes it...and it quite possibly will...then that’ll be a mainstream movie.

Still haven’t heard Remember Me (since I haven’t seen Coco yet) so it’ll be interesting to catch it tonight and hear it out of context.

Animated Views Admin
Animated Views Admin
Posts: 6416
Joined: October 16th, 2004, 7:51 pm
Contact:

Re: Oscar Contest 2018

Postby James » March 4th, 2018, 7:31 pm

He's not wrong about that song.